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To own Vulcan Materials, you generally need to believe that sustained infrastructure spending and Sunbelt construction will keep driving aggregates demand and pricing, outweighing softer residential trends and regional weather risk. Mr. Bass’s planned 2026 retirement looks orderly and does not materially change the near term catalyst, which remains public construction driven aggregates volume growth, or the key risk around potential shifts or delays in U.S. infrastructure funding and project timing.
Against this backdrop, Vulcan’s recent report of 12% aggregates shipment growth in Q3 2025, supported by 5% higher freight adjusted pricing and a 31% increase in operating cash flow, matters more to the current narrative than the compensation details around Mr. Bass’s exit. The strong volume and pricing performance reinforce the idea that infrastructure funding and Sunbelt project backlogs are still translating into tangible operating momentum, even as investors watch closely for any signs of funding delays or weather driven disruptions.
But investors should also be aware that if government infrastructure funding were to slow or be delayed, the impact on Vulcan’s volumes and pricing power could...
Read the full narrative on Vulcan Materials (it's free!)
Vulcan Materials' narrative projects $9.6 billion revenue and $1.5 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 8.1% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $541.9 million from $958.1 million today.
Uncover how Vulcan Materials' forecasts yield a $317.70 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community currently value Vulcan Materials between US$115 and about US$317.70 per share, highlighting very different expectations for its future. You can weigh those views against the current reliance on sustained U.S. infrastructure funding, and decide how that key risk might influence the company’s ability to maintain recent aggregates volume and pricing momentum.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Vulcan Materials - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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