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To own Exelon, you need to believe regulated grid and transmission investment will continue to earn constructive returns despite rising capital needs and regulatory scrutiny. ComEd’s ultrafast EV hub near O’Hare fits this thesis, but the US$500,000 rebate itself is not material to Exelon’s near term earnings catalyst, which still centers on securing timely, favorable rate decisions to fund grid modernization. The biggest current risk remains the possibility of delayed or weaker cost recovery from regulators.
Among recent developments, Exelon’s reaffirmed 2025 operating EPS guidance of US$2.64 to US$2.74 is most relevant here, because it signals confidence that current regulatory frameworks and capital plans, including EV and grid projects under Illinois’ Climate and Equitable Jobs Act, remain on track for now. This sits alongside Exelon’s relatively low P/E multiple versus the Electric Utilities industry, which some investors may interpret as the market pricing in ongoing regulatory and financing risks.
Yet investors should also be aware that if regulators resist full recovery of rising grid and EV infrastructure costs, especially in Illinois, then...
Read the full narrative on Exelon (it's free!)
Exelon's narrative projects $26.2 billion revenue and $3.2 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 3.3% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $0.5 billion from $2.7 billion today.
Uncover how Exelon's forecasts yield a $49.75 fair value, a 14% upside to its current price.
Four Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Exelon span about US$35.89 to US$50, reflecting very different expectations. As you weigh these views, remember that Exelon’s growth opportunity is tightly linked to regulator support for large grid and EV charging investments.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Exelon - why the stock might be worth as much as 15% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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