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Fomento Económico Mexicano, S.A.B. de C.V.'s (BMV:FEMSAUBD) Stock Has Shown Weakness Lately But Financial Prospects Look Decent: Is The Market Wrong?

Simply Wall St·12/21/2025 14:00:24
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With its stock down 3.2% over the past week, it is easy to disregard Fomento Económico Mexicano. de (BMV:FEMSAUBD). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Fomento Económico Mexicano. de's ROE today.

ROE or return on equity is a useful tool to assess how effectively a company can generate returns on the investment it received from its shareholders. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Fomento Económico Mexicano. de is:

8.4% = Mex$27b ÷ Mex$327b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2025).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every MX$1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of MX$0.08.

View our latest analysis for Fomento Económico Mexicano. de

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Fomento Económico Mexicano. de's Earnings Growth And 8.4% ROE

It is quite clear that Fomento Económico Mexicano. de's ROE is rather low. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 13%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. However, the moderate 20% net income growth seen by Fomento Económico Mexicano. de over the past five years is definitely a positive. Therefore, the growth in earnings could probably have been caused by other variables. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

As a next step, we compared Fomento Económico Mexicano. de's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 4.6%.

past-earnings-growth
BMV:FEMSA UBD Past Earnings Growth December 21st 2025

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for FEMSA UBD? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Fomento Económico Mexicano. de Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Fomento Económico Mexicano. de has a significant three-year median payout ratio of 54%, meaning that it is left with only 46% to reinvest into its business. This implies that the company has been able to achieve decent earnings growth despite returning most of its profits to shareholders.

Moreover, Fomento Económico Mexicano. de is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Existing analyst estimates suggest that the company's future payout ratio is expected to drop to 34% over the next three years. The fact that the company's ROE is expected to rise to 14% over the same period is explained by the drop in the payout ratio.

Conclusion

In total, it does look like Fomento Económico Mexicano. de has some positive aspects to its business. While no doubt its earnings growth is pretty substantial, we do feel that the reinvestment rate is pretty low, meaning, the earnings growth number could have been significantly higher had the company been retaining more of its profits. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.