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To own Ulta Beauty, you need to believe its large store base, loyalty program and differentiated brand mix can offset rising costs, online competition and the eventual loss of Target shop‑in‑shops. DRMTLGY’s exclusive launch supports Ulta’s focus on higher value, science-led skincare, but does not materially change the near term earnings catalyst of improving margins or the key risk that physical store and SG&A costs grow faster than sales.
Among recent developments, Ulta’s December 15 Executive Severance Plan stands out, as it formalizes protections for top leaders while the company leans into new brands like DRMTLGY and Herbivore. For investors watching catalysts tied to merchandising and digital execution, this move adds context on how Ulta is structuring leadership stability at a time when it is investing heavily in omnichannel capability and exclusive partnerships.
Yet investors should also weigh how rising store expenses and wage inflation could pressure profitability over time, especially as...
Read the full narrative on Ulta Beauty (it's free!)
Ulta Beauty's narrative projects $13.8 billion revenue and $1.3 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 5.9% yearly revenue growth and roughly a $0.1 billion earnings increase from $1.2 billion today.
Uncover how Ulta Beauty's forecasts yield a $603.43 fair value, in line with its current price.
Nine fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$380 to US$603 per share, showing how differently people view Ulta’s potential. As you compare those viewpoints, keep in mind that Ulta’s growing roster of exclusive, science focused brands like DRMTLGY could be an important driver of customer loyalty and long term revenue quality.
Explore 9 other fair value estimates on Ulta Beauty - why the stock might be worth 36% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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