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    The Bull Case For Shanghai Electric Group (SEHK:2727) Could Change Following Iraq’s New Combined-Cycle Expansion Project

    Simply Wall St·12/22/2025 18:14:47
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    • Shanghai Electric has recently broken ground on the Euphrates Combined Cycle Expansion Project in Iraq, upgrading power plants across four governorates by converting simple-cycle units into combined-cycle systems to add 625 megawatts of capacity and generate an extra 5 billion kilowatt-hours annually without more fuel.
    • The project, which fully deploys Chinese-designed core equipment and standards in one of Iraq’s first such combined-cycle expansions, strengthens Shanghai Electric’s role in exporting China’s energy technology while helping ease Iraq’s long-standing electricity shortages.
    • We’ll now examine how this Iraq combined-cycle expansion, alongside Shanghai Electric’s recent board appointment, influences the company’s broader investment narrative.

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    What Is Shanghai Electric Group's Investment Narrative?

    For Shanghai Electric, you really have to believe in the story of a complex, low-margin industrial group trying to translate a strong project pipeline into better returns on equity and a more disciplined capital structure. The Euphrates combined-cycle expansion in Iraq fits that picture as a proof point for exporting Chinese equipment and standards, but on its own it is unlikely to move the needle on near term earnings or justify the current premium P/E multiple. Its real influence is on the medium term narrative: deeper Belt and Road exposure, lumpier project risk and higher execution demands in challenging markets. In the short term, the more immediate catalysts still look to be margin trends, cash conversion after the buyback and how the refreshed board, now including Dr. Chen, handles governance and risk oversight.

    However, investors should not ignore how thin profit margins and low forecast ROE frame all of this. Despite retreating, Shanghai Electric Group's shares might still be trading above their fair value and there could be some more downside. Discover how much.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    SEHK:2727 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    SEHK:2727 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    The single HK$22.35 fair value from the Simply Wall St Community contrasts with a market that already prices Shanghai Electric on a rich earnings multiple, while project execution and governance stability remain key swing factors for future performance.

    Explore another fair value estimate on Shanghai Electric Group - why the stock might be worth over 5x more than the current price!

    Build Your Own Shanghai Electric Group Narrative

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.