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To own Discovery Silver, you have to believe the market will reward a relatively young management team for turning recent profitability and strong revenue momentum into something durable, despite a rich valuation and past dilution. Near term, the key catalysts still look tied to operational execution, how clean future earnings are after the recent one off loss, and whether the new executives can bed in without disrupting performance. Against that backdrop, Forbes Gemmell’s option exercise and US$8.90 sale of 300,000 shares is a clear data point on insider sentiment, but on its own it does not obviously alter those core drivers, especially after a very large share price run this year. It does, however, sit uncomfortably beside existing concerns around significant insider selling and a high earnings multiple.
However, there is one business risk here that investors should not ignore. Discovery Silver's share price has been on the slide but might be up to 13% below fair value. Find out if it's a bargain.Explore 12 other fair value estimates on Discovery Silver - why the stock might be worth just CA$11.00!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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