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To own Critical Metals today, you have to believe Tanbreez can transition from a technically promising deposit into a fully financed, permitted and integrated producer feeding Western supply chains. The latest processing breakthroughs, plus the Romanian JV term sheet and S&P/TSX Global Mining Index inclusion, directly speak to the near term catalysts: securing binding offtake, locking in EU-aligned partners and de-risking the flowsheet through the pilot plant. The new drilling results at Fjord tighten the geological story but do not yet change the commercial risk that Tanbreez, and the Romanian refinery, still sit early in the development cycle with no meaningful revenue and ongoing losses. Short interest has eased and the share price has moved higher recently, yet financing needs, permitting timelines and execution in Greenland and Romania remain the biggest swing factors from here.
However, investors also need to weigh how future funding and permitting outcomes could reshape this story. Insights from our recent valuation report point to the potential overvaluation of Critical Metals shares in the market.Explore 11 other fair value estimates on Critical Metals - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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