Nippon Kodoshi Corporation (TSE:3891) Looks Just Right With A 25% Price Jump
Despite an already strong run, Nippon Kodoshi Corporation (TSE:3891) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 25% in the last thirty days. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 74%.
Following the firm bounce in price, Nippon Kodoshi's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 19x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in Japan, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 14x and even P/E's below 10x are quite common. However, the P/E might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Nippon Kodoshi has been doing relatively well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to persist, which has raised the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Nippon Kodoshi
Is There Enough Growth For Nippon Kodoshi?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the market for P/E ratios like Nippon Kodoshi's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 18%. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year EPS frustratingly shrank by 36% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the one analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 18% per year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 9.0% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Nippon Kodoshi is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
Nippon Kodoshi's P/E is getting right up there since its shares have risen strongly. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Nippon Kodoshi's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Nippon Kodoshi, and understanding should be part of your investment process.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.