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To own China Oilfield Services today, you need to be comfortable with its exposure to cyclical offshore spending and customer concentration, while seeing value in its contract backlog and technology investment. The recent removal from the SSE 180 Index may affect trading liquidity in the short term, but it does not directly change the key catalyst of securing and executing long term international drilling contracts, nor the main risk that demand or spending from major clients like CNOOC weakens further.
The appointment of independent non executive director Ms. Chiu Lai Kuen, Susanna to the nomination committee modestly strengthens formal board oversight, which matters given COSL’s relatively new board and management team. While this governance tweak is unlikely to move earnings by itself, some investors may see closer alignment with Hong Kong’s Corporate Governance Code as supportive when weighing COSL’s contract pipeline, capital intensity and exposure to overseas project risks.
Yet investors should be aware that customer concentration and potential cuts to key clients’ offshore capex could...
Read the full narrative on China Oilfield Services (it's free!)
China Oilfield Services' narrative projects CN¥57.5 billion revenue and CN¥5.5 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 5.4% yearly revenue growth and about CN¥2.0 billion earnings increase from CN¥3.5 billion today.
Uncover how China Oilfield Services' forecasts yield a HK$9.50 fair value, a 35% upside to its current price.
Two members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see fair value for COSL between HK$9.50 and HK$23.45, illustrating very different expectations. Against that spread, the reliance on a few major domestic customers remains a central issue for how resilient you think future cash flows can be.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on China Oilfield Services - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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