What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. However, after investigating itsumo.inc (TSE:7694), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for itsumo.inc:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.025 = JP¥119m ÷ (JP¥8.8b - JP¥4.1b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2025).
Therefore, itsumo.inc has an ROCE of 2.5%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Media industry average of 12%.
See our latest analysis for itsumo.inc
Historical performance is a great place to start when researching a stock so above you can see the gauge for itsumo.inc's ROCE against it's prior returns. If you're interested in investigating itsumo.inc's past further, check out this free graph covering itsumo.inc's past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
When we looked at the ROCE trend at itsumo.inc, we didn't gain much confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 8.1% over the last three years. On the other hand, the company has been employing more capital without a corresponding improvement in sales in the last year, which could suggest these investments are longer term plays. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.
On a separate but related note, it's important to know that itsumo.inc has a current liabilities to total assets ratio of 46%, which we'd consider pretty high. This can bring about some risks because the company is basically operating with a rather large reliance on its suppliers or other sorts of short-term creditors. While it's not necessarily a bad thing, it can be beneficial if this ratio is lower.
Bringing it all together, while we're somewhat encouraged by itsumo.inc's reinvestment in its own business, we're aware that returns are shrinking. Moreover, since the stock has crumbled 87% over the last five years, it appears investors are expecting the worst. On the whole, we aren't too inspired by the underlying trends and we think there may be better chances of finding a multi-bagger elsewhere.
One more thing: We've identified 4 warning signs with itsumo.inc (at least 3 which are concerning) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.
While itsumo.inc may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.