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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 18.8%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 81.2%. The probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March next year is 46.9%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 44.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 8.5%.

Zhitongcaijing·12/28/2025 22:09:01
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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year is 18.8%, and the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 81.2%. The probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points by March next year is 46.9%, the probability of keeping interest rates unchanged is 44.7%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 8.5%.