U.S. stock futures fell on Thursday following Wednesday’s declines. Futures of the major benchmark indices were lower.
Markets processed the Federal Reserve's widely anticipated decision to maintain interest rates at 3.50%–3.75% for a third consecutive meeting. The FOMC highlighted that despite solid economic expansion, inflation stays somewhat elevated and job growth remains sluggish.
President Donald Trump warned Iran that continued strikes on Qatar’s LNG facilities would face major retaliation, while simultaneously signaling that Israel would cease targeting Iran’s vital South Pars gas field.
Following talks with Trump and the Qatari Emir, French President Emmanuel Macron urged an immediate end to infrastructure attacks to protect civilians and stabilize global energy supplies.
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.28%, and the two-year bond was at 3.80%. The CME Group's FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing a 95.9% likelihood of the Federal Reserve leaving the current interest rates unchanged later today.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | -0.31% |
| S&P 500 | -0.34% |
| Nasdaq 100 | -0.46% |
| Russell 2000 | -0.58% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively, were lower in premarket on Thursday. The SPY was down 0.32% at $659.32, while the QQQ declined 0.49% to $592.00.
Materials, consumer discretionary, and consumer staples sectors led the S&P 500’s decline on Wednesday as the Dow Jones dropped over 750 points following new economic reports and Fed remarks.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | -1.63% | 46.225.15 |
| S&P 500 | -1.36% | 6.624.70 |
| Nasdaq Composite | -1.46% | 22.152.42 |
| Russell 2000 | -1.64% | 2.478,64 |
BlackRock maintains a constructive yet cautious outlook on the U.S. economy, characterized by a “visible global macro shock” stemming from the Middle East conflict.
While the closure of the Strait of Hormuz has intensified inflationary pressures, BlackRock believes a “feedback loop” could emerge where political and economic fallout eventually limits the conflict’s duration.
They note that “if current crude oil prices persist for six months, we see a notable drag on global growth and boost to inflation.” Regarding the U.S. stock market, BlackRock remains tactically overweight, expressing a clear preference for U.S. equities over international counterparts.
This conviction is rooted in the “AI theme supported by strong earnings, resilient profit margins and healthy balance sheets.” They anticipate the market will be underpinned by “continued Federal Reserve easing into 2026 and reduced policy uncertainty”.
However, they warn that traditional diversifiers are currently “challenged,” suggesting that long-dated Treasuries no longer provide the necessary “portfolio ballast” against falling equities in this persistent high-inflation environment
Here's what investors will be keeping an eye on Thursday.
Crude oil futures were trading higher in the early New York session by 1.47% to hover around $96.86 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar fell 2.20% to hover around $4,712.92 per ounce. Its last record high stood at $5,595.46 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.15% higher at the 100.2400 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 5.37% lower at $70,065.66 per coin, as per the last 24 hours.
Asian markets closed lower on Thursday. Japan's Nikkei 225, China’s CSI 300, South Korea's Kospi, India’s Nifty 50, Australia's ASX 200, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng indices fell. European markets were also lower in early trade.
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