Laopu Gold Co., Ltd. (HKG:6181) shareholders will have a reason to smile today, with the analysts making substantial upgrades to this year's statutory forecasts. The consensus statutory numbers for both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) increased, with their view clearly much more bullish on the company's business prospects.
Following the upgrade, the latest consensus from Laopu Gold's 18 analysts is for revenues of CN¥42b in 2026, which would reflect a substantial 53% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to soar 66% to CN¥45.73. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥37b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥39.05 in 2026. So we can see there's been a pretty clear increase in analyst sentiment in recent times, with both revenues and earnings per share receiving a decent lift in the latest estimates.
Check out our latest analysis for Laopu Gold
Despite these upgrades, the analysts have not made any major changes to their price target of CN¥891, suggesting that the higher estimates are not likely to have a long term impact on what the stock is worth. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Laopu Gold at CN¥1,141 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CN¥683. There are definitely some different views on the stock, but the range of estimates is not wide enough as to imply that the situation is unforecastable, in our view.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Laopu Gold's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2026 expected to display 53% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 80% over the past three years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 9.3% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while Laopu Gold's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's still expected to grow faster than the industry itself.
The biggest takeaway for us from these new estimates is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, with improved earnings power expected for this year. Fortunately, analysts also upgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates sales are expected to perform better than the wider market. Some investors might be disappointed to see that the price target is unchanged, but we feel that improving fundamentals are usually a positive - assuming these forecasts are met! So Laopu Gold could be a good candidate for more research.
Better yet, our automated discounted cash flow calculation (DCF) suggests Laopu Gold could be moderately undervalued. You can learn more about our valuation methodology on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are upgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.