U.S. stock futures advanced on Monday, as the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, and the Dow Jones indices rose, following Friday’s higher close.
This follows an announcement of a peace agreement with Iran by President Donald Trump, which led to a decline in crude oil futures. He said that the deal was “now complete,” adding, “I hereby fully authorize the toll-free opening of the Strait of Hormuz, and, simultaneously herewith, authorize the immediate removal of the United States Naval blockade.”
In this truncated trading week with markets closed on Friday, investors will eye the Federal Reserve’s decision on interest rates with the new chairman, Kevin Warsh, on Wednesday.
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.44%, and the two-year bond was at 4.03%. The CME Group's FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing a 97.4% likelihood of the Federal Reserve leaving the current interest rates unchanged during June’s meeting.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | 0.89% |
| S&P 500 | 1.25% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 2.11% |
| Russell 2000 | 1.64% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively, were higher in premarket on Monday. The SPY was up 1.28% at $751.24, while the QQQ advanced by 2.17% to $737.02.
Most sectors on the S&P 500 closed on a positive note, with financial, materials, and utilities stocks recording the biggest gains on Friday. However, health care stocks bucked the overall market trend, closing the session lower.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | 0.70% | 51,202.26 |
| S&P 500 | 0.50% | 7,431.46 |
| Nasdaq Composite | 0.31% | 25,888.84 |
| Russell 2000 | 0.79% | 2,943.99 |
Mohamed El-Erian paints a picture of a complex macroeconomic landscape where the U.S. economy and stock market are driven by divergent forces.
On one hand, economic data reveal sticky inflationary pressures. El-Erian highlights that “headline PPI inflation for May came in hotter than expected at 6.5%,” forcing markets to adjust to a harsher reality.
Consequently, investors have largely “abandoned prior hopes for 2026 Fed rate cuts and are now pricing in the possibility of a rate hike by year-end.”
Despite these underlying economic anxieties and a “notably divided” Federal Reserve facing a critical leadership transition, the stock market has found immense fuel in monumental corporate milestones. El-Erian points to the massive SpaceX IPO as a primary catalyst that “boosted stocks more generally.”
Ultimately, El-Erian expects the market to remain highly sensitive to upcoming monetary policy. He cautions that all eyes will be on the Fed’s next moves to see how they frame the path forward amid an “acceleration in inflation.”
For investors, the outlook requires navigating a delicate balance between powerful, tech-driven equity euphoria and the tightening grip of a central bank facing deep needs for “reform and modernization.”
Here's what investors will be keeping an eye on this week.
Crude oil futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 5.2`% to hover around $80.46 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar rose 2.83% to hover around $4,338.63 per ounce. Its last record high stood at $5,595.46 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.19% lower at the 99.5560 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 1.88% higher at $65,646.71 per coin, as per the last 24 hours.
Asian markets closed higher on Monday, as Australia's ASX 200, India’s Nifty 50, Hong Kong's Hang Seng, Japan's Nikkei 225, South Korea's Kospi, and China’s CSI 300 indices advanced. European markets were also higher in early trade.
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