U.S. stock futures rose on Thursday, as the Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500 indices rose, following Wednesday’s mixed close.
Investors are awaiting Thursday’s release of the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, which serves as the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge.
Meanwhile, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent aimed at the Federal Reserve’s forecasting methods, declaring that the central bank’s interest rate dot plots are “always wrong” due to institutional “group think.” Speaking on CNBC, Bessent fully endorsed Fed Chair Kevin Warsh‘s decision to eliminate forward guidance, arguing the economy can achieve high growth without triggering inflation.
He also unveiled a comprehensive "3 through 3" economic blueprint designed to sustain high GDP growth while neutralizing "structural inflation."
The 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.41%, and the two-year bond was at 4.15%. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing a 65.8% likelihood of the Federal Reserve leaving the current interest rates unchanged during July’s meeting.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | 0.09% |
| S&P 500 | 0.71% |
| Nasdaq 100 | 2.15% |
| Russell 2000 | 0.12% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively, were higher in premarket on Thursday. The SPY was up 0.25% at $738.75, while the QQQ advanced by 2.20% to $726.27.
Most sectors on the S&P 500 closed on a positive note, with utilities, industrials, and consumer discretionary stocks recording the biggest gains on Wednesday. However, energy and information technology stocks closed the session lower.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | 0.35% | 51,848.90 |
| S&P 500 | -0.098% | 7,358.22 |
| Nasdaq Composite | -0.43% | 25,476.64 |
| Russell 2000 | 0.37% | 2,986.63 |
The Co-Head of Global Fixed Income at Wells Fargo, Luis Alvarado, highlights that “the era of central banks driving bond markets is giving way to a more market-driven investment landscape.”
This shift is heavily influenced by “inflation uncertainty, government borrowing needs, and shifting investor demand.”
Regarding the broader economic environment and policymaking, Alvarado notes that Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh is “rethinking how it communicates with markets.”
The Fed appears increasingly comfortable “letting investors interpret the data for themselves and allowing market signals to play a larger role in policymaking.”
Consequently, Alvarado cautions that market participants must adapt to a new economic reality. As central bank intervention recedes, he explicitly warns investors to “expect more volatility than we saw during much of the QE era”.
Here’s what investors will be keeping an eye on Thursday.
Crude oil futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 1.41% to hover around $69.35 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar fell 0.14% to hover around $3,993.67 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.24% higher at the 101.6490 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 1.61% lower at $61,614.83 per coin, as per the last 24 hours.
Asian markets closed mixed on Thursday, as Hong Kong’s Hang Seng and Australia’s ASX 200 indices fell, while Japan’s Nikkei 225, China’s CSI 300, India’s Nifty 50, and South Korea’s Kospi indices rose. European markets were higher in early trade.
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