U.S. stock futures were mixed on Tuesday, as the Dow Jones index rose while the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indices fell, following Monday’s higher close.
On Monday, President Donald Trump said the federal government has deposited the first $1,000 into more than 500,000 newly created "Trump Accounts," launching a program aimed at giving eligible American newborns an early start in investing.
He also announced that Walmart Inc. (NASDAQ:WMT) will be significantly reducing prices at the request of his administration
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.50%, and the two-year bond was at 4.13%. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool’s projections show markets pricing a 74.9% likelihood of the Federal Reserve leaving the current interest rates unchanged during July’s meeting.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | 0.22% |
| S&P 500 | -0.12% |
| Nasdaq 100 | -0.81% |
| Russell 2000 | 0.08% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively, were lower in premarket on Tuesday. The SPY was down 0.15% at $750.19, while the QQQ declined by 0.83% to $716.76.
Information technology and communication services stocks were among the top gainers, while health care, real estate, and utilities stocks recorded the biggest losses on Monday, leading most sectors on the S&P 500 to close on a negative note. Amid a rebound in chip stocks, U.S. stocks settled higher on Monday, with the Nasdaq Composite gaining more than 1% during the session.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | 0.29% | 53,055.91 |
| S&P 500 | 0.72% | 7,537.43 |
| Nasdaq Composite | 1.12% | 26,121.16 |
| Russell 2000 | 0.45% | 3,009.54 |
According to Dean Chen, the U.S. stock market and broader economy are entering a new phase defined by heightened “monetary policy uncertainty,” as the Federal Reserve pivots away from traditional forward guidance toward a strict data-dependent approach.
Chen notes that because the Fed is “reducing reliance on forward guidance,” market expectations will now hinge entirely on real-time data rather than preset signals.
Consequently, Chen expects increased market turbulence, warning that “policy uncertainty may drive higher volatility around inflation and employment releases.” Without the smoothing effect of forward guidance, asset prices will become far more sensitive to macroeconomic indicators.
Compounding this volatility are external pressures. Chen highlights that “Middle East tensions return as oil markets balance geopolitical risks and stable supply,” which could impact energy costs and inflation.
Additionally, international factors like Japan’s weak yen and fiscal strain will keep “demand for U.S. dollar assets elevated.” Ultimately, Chen expects a cautious, highly reactive environment for U.S. markets, where investors must closely parse incoming liquidity conditions and economic growth data to gauge market direction.
Here’s what investors will be keeping an eye on Tuesday.
Crude oil futures were trading higher in the early New York session by 1.18% to hover around $69.36 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar fell 0.85% to hover around $4,129.55 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.04% higher at the 100.8960 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 0.30% higher at $63,027.20 per coin over the last 24 hours.
Asian markets closed mostly lower on Tuesday, except India’s Nifty 50 index. Australia’s ASX 200, South Korea’s Kospi, Japan’s Nikkei 225, China’s CSI 300, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng indices fell. European markets were mixed in early trade.
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