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To own Exelon, you need to believe in a regulated utility that can keep growing its grid and earnings while managing regulatory and capital intensity risks. The new ComEd substations are positive for long term transmission and renewables growth, but they do not materially change the near term focus on rate outcomes and cost recovery, which remain the key catalyst and risk.
The recent PJM approved 220 mile, 765 kV transmission project with NextEra Energy Transmission ties directly into this theme of grid expansion. Together with the newly energized substations, it illustrates how Exelon is building out transmission capacity that could support future rate base growth, while also increasing its exposure to regulatory approvals and capital cost pressures.
Yet, behind these growth projects, investors should be aware of the growing capital needs and reliance on regulators...
Read the full narrative on Exelon (it's free!)
Exelon’s narrative projects $27.4 billion revenue and $3.5 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 3.4% yearly revenue growth and a $0.7 billion earnings increase from $2.8 billion today.
Uncover how Exelon's forecasts yield a $49.33 fair value, a 6% upside to its current price.
Simply Wall St Community members offer 2 fair value views for Exelon, ranging from just US$6.89 up to about US$49.33 per share, underlining how far opinions can spread. Set against this, the emphasis on large scale grid and renewables expansion as a key earnings catalyst invites you to weigh how different growth and regulatory outcomes could shape the company’s path.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Exelon - why the stock might be worth as much as 6% more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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