U.S. stock futures were mixed on Friday, as the Dow Jones index advanced, while the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indices fell, following Thursday’s higher close.
As the tensions in the Middle East re-escalated this week, MS Now reported that the U.S. will engage in “technical talks” with Iran and remains committed to resolving the conflict. This followed fresh reports from the Wall Street Journal on Thursday that said Iran has developed a fresh plan to kill President Donald Trump, marking what could be a significant escalation in tensions between Washington and Tehran.
Market attention is centered on the AI sector ahead of SK Hynix Inc.’s (NASDAQ:SKHY) highly anticipated Nasdaq debut. This IPO arrives as investors evaluate a recent semiconductor sell-off that has tested confidence in the AI boom.
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.54%, and the two-year bond was at 4.17%. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool‘s projections show markets pricing a 79.1% likelihood of the Federal Reserve leaving the current interest rates unchanged during July’s meeting.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | 0.13% |
| S&P 500 | -0.14% |
| Nasdaq 100 | -0.54% |
| Russell 2000 | -0.23% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively, were lower in premarket on Friday. The SPY was down 0.085% at $751.07, while the QQQ declined by 0.42% to $720.17.
Information technology, consumer discretionary, and financial stocks recorded the biggest gains on Thursday, while consumer staples and energy shares bucked the trend to close lower, lifting most S&P 500 sectors and helping U.S. stocks settle higher as the Nasdaq Composite added over 300 points amid a semiconductor surge.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | 0.27% | 52,348.39 |
| S&P 500 | 0.81% | 7,543.64 |
| Nasdaq Composite | 1.30% | 26,206.89 |
| Russell 2000 | 1.22% | 2,992.54 |
Mason Mendez, Global Real Assets Analyst at Wells Fargo Investment Institute, maintains a positive yet cautious outlook on the U.S. stock market and economy.
As geopolitical oil risks subside, Mendez notes that investors are refocusing on corporate earnings and Federal Reserve policy. “The outlook for equities remains positive,” Mendez states, supported by an S&P 500 Index year-end target of 7,800–8,000 for 2026.
However, near-term headwinds persist. Sticky inflation could prompt the Fed to keep interest rates higher for longer, pressure growth stocks, and heighten market sensitivity.
Tech corporate earnings face intense scrutiny, as a recent market rotation suggests “expectations may have moved ahead of near-term earnings reality” regarding artificial intelligence profits. While Mendez believes the long-term AI narrative is intact, high expectations create room for volatility, a risk further complicated by rising investor leverage.
To navigate these conditions, Mendez advises staying invested through the volatility while avoiding overconcentration. He suggests maintaining a selective approach to information technology and balancing portfolios with attractive valuations in financials, industrials, utilities, and materials.
Here’s what investors will be keeping an eye on Friday.
Crude oil futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 0.32% to hover around $71.85 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar fell 0.62% to hover around $4,098.11 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.04% lower at the 100.8670 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 2.21% higher at $64,172.40 per coin over the last 24 hours.
Asian markets were mostly higher on Friday, except for China’s CSI 300 index. Australia’s ASX 200, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, India’s Nifty 50, South Korea’s Kospi, and Japan’s Nikkei 225 rose. European markets were also mixed in early trade.
Disclaimer: This content was partially produced with the help of AI tools and was reviewed and published by Benzinga editors.
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