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Twelve Securis sees El Niño curbing 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, CSU cuts ACE to 50

PUBT·07/10/2026 12:19:51
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Twelve Securis sees El Niño curbing 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, CSU cuts ACE to 50
  • Twelve Capital flagged a subdued Atlantic hurricane outlook for 2026, citing strong wind shear and a major Saharan dust outbreak suppressing July activity.
  • NOAA raised the probability of a very strong El Niño in August-September-October to 48% from 28%, reinforcing expectations for a weak peak season.
  • Colorado State cut its 2026 forecast to one major hurricane, with ACE seen at 50 versus the 10-year average of 149.
  • Typhoon Bavi is forecast to hit China’s Zhejiang Province with 85 mph winds, with no anticipated ILS market impact.


Disclaimer: This news brief was created by Public Technologies (PUBT) using generative artificial intelligence. While PUBT strives to provide accurate and timely information, this AI-generated content is for informational purposes only and should not be interpreted as financial, investment, or legal advice. Twelve Capital Ltd published the original content used to generate this news brief on July 10, 2026, and is solely responsible for the information contained therein.