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To own BlackRock, you generally need to believe its scale, technology and product breadth can keep assets and fees resilient even as pricing pressure and competition intensify. The new iShares Nasdaq 100 ETF (IQQ) reinforces BlackRock’s ETF growth story but does not materially change the near term risk that fee compression, especially in passive products, could weigh on margins, or the key catalyst of expanding higher fee offerings in areas like alternatives and technology solutions.
The recent selection of two iShares Core ETFs (IVV and ITOT) for the U.S. Trump Accounts program is particularly relevant here, because it highlights both sides of BlackRock’s catalysts and risks: growing ETF flows and brand visibility on one hand, and ongoing pressure to keep costs low on the other, which can reinforce industry wide fee compression.
Yet behind BlackRock’s expanding low cost ETFs, investors should be aware of the growing risk that persistent fee compression could...
Read the full narrative on BlackRock (it's free!)
BlackRock's narrative projects $35.0 billion revenue and $9.5 billion earnings by 2029.
Uncover how BlackRock's forecasts yield a $1252 fair value, a 23% upside to its current price.
Six members of the Simply Wall St Community currently estimate BlackRock’s fair value between US$1,096 and US$1,319, underscoring how far opinions can spread. You can weigh those views against the central risk that persistent fee compression in ETFs may undercut the benefits of product launches like IQQ and explore how that tension could influence BlackRock’s longer term performance.
Explore 6 other fair value estimates on BlackRock - why the stock might be worth as much as 29% more than the current price!
Don't just follow the ticker - dig into the data and build a conviction that's truly your own.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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