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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 66.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 33.7%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 31%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 51.1%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 18%.

Zhitongcaijing·07/10/2026 22:09:04
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According to CME “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in July is 66.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 33.7%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 31%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 51.1%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 18%.