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To own Baker Hughes, you need to believe in its role as a core equipment and services supplier to LNG, gas infrastructure and power systems, with a growing installed base that can support recurring service revenue. The Sabine Pass Train 7 and Kodiak power awards appear to support the near term catalyst of backlog-driven earnings visibility, while key risks such as policy shifts and cost inflation remain very much in focus and are not removed by these wins.
Among the recent announcements, the Sabine Pass LNG expansion stands out as most relevant here. It combines new liquefaction equipment for Train 7, a boil-off gas re liquefaction unit and a four year fleet wide gas turbine upgrade program, adding to Baker Hughes’ LNG equipment and services backlog. For investors focused on contract quality and conversion risk, Sabine Pass provides a concrete example of long duration LNG work that could underpin the current IET backlog story.
Yet investors should also weigh how persistent cost inflation and tariffs could still squeeze margins on long dated LNG and power contracts like these awards...
Read the full narrative on Baker Hughes (it's free!)
Baker Hughes' narrative projects $30.8 billion revenue and $3.3 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 3.3% yearly revenue growth and about a $0.2 billion earnings increase from $3.1 billion today.
Uncover how Baker Hughes' forecasts yield a $71.24 fair value, a 24% upside to its current price.
Some of the most optimistic analysts already expected revenue to reach about US$34.6 billion and earnings US$3.6 billion, so this kind of LNG and power backlog could either reinforce that upbeat view or highlight how vulnerable those expectations are if long duration project costs or delays play out differently than they assumed.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Baker Hughes - why the stock might be worth just $70.86!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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