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    Republic Services (RSG) Heads Into Earnings As Its Fair Value Story Stays In Focus

    Simply Wall St·07/15/2026 12:29:33
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    Upcoming Q2 earnings put Republic Services in focus

    Republic Services (RSG) is back in the spotlight as it heads toward its fiscal second quarter 2026 earnings release on Thursday, August 6, after the market close. This update is one that many investors watch closely.

    Analysts expect profit of $1.81 per share for the quarter, compared with the same period a year ago. Republic Services has met or exceeded Wall Street EPS estimates in each of the last four quarters.

    See our latest analysis for Republic Services.

    Republic Services’ share price has held up relatively well into the earnings date, with a 30 day share price return of 4.82% and year to date gain of 4.68%, while the 1 year total shareholder return has declined 7.98%, compared with a 3 year total shareholder return of 52.80% and 5 year total shareholder return of 103.58%. This suggests that longer term holders have still seen substantial gains even as recent momentum has cooled slightly.

    If this steady waste services story has you thinking more broadly about where to put fresh capital, it can be useful to scan other resilient infrastructure style plays using our 34 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks

    Republic Services’ recent pullback sits awkwardly against years of solid long term returns and steady earnings expectations, raising a simple question: is the stock now reflecting the business, or just a cooler mood around it?

    Most Popular Narrative: 9.7% Undervalued

    Republic Services is trading at a last close of $220.03 against a widely followed fair value estimate of about $243.58, putting the current analyst story in clear focus.

    Sustainability efforts such as the development of Polymer Centers and the Blue Polymers joint venture could drive future revenue growth by enhancing plastic circularity and decarbonization. These operations are expected to contribute to earnings starting in the second half of 2025.

    Read the complete narrative. Read the complete narrative.

    Want to see what is baked into that fair value for Republic Services? The narrative leans on measured revenue growth, firmer margins, and a richer future earnings multiple. Curious how those moving parts combine into the $243.58 figure the market is weighing against $220.03 today?

    Result: Fair Value of $243.58 (UNDERVALUED)

    Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

    However, the Republic Services story can shift quickly if organic volume softness in construction and manufacturing persists, or if the sizeable acquisition program proves harder to integrate than expected.

    Find out about the key risks to this Republic Services narrative.

    Next Steps

    With Republic Services carrying both support and questions in this article, it makes sense to move quickly and review the full picture yourself using the 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign.

    Looking for more investment ideas beyond Republic Services?

    If Republic Services has sharpened your thinking about quality, do not stop here. The right watchlist can be the difference between reacting and being ready.

    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.