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    Johnson Matthey Catalyst Deal and 2026 Guidance Could Be A Game Changer For Honeywell (HON)

    Simply Wall St·07/18/2026 02:18:44
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    • In recent weeks, Honeywell International completed its acquisition of Johnson Matthey’s Catalyst Technologies business while reaffirming full-year 2026 sales guidance of US$19.90 billion to US$20.20 billion and updated earnings guidance that separates spin-off effects from ongoing performance.
    • By expanding its catalyst and process technologies portfolio, advancing community-scale solar projects, and earning top marks for family-friendly workplaces, Honeywell is reinforcing an energy-transition and people-focused profile that could matter for long-term investors.
    • We’ll now examine how the Johnson Matthey Catalyst Technologies acquisition reshapes Honeywell’s existing investment narrative around portfolio simplification and growth.

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    Honeywell International Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Honeywell today, you need to believe that its reshaped portfolio of automation, building technologies, and advanced materials can support resilient earnings even as it absorbs the costs and complexity of separating into three public companies. The Johnson Matthey Catalyst Technologies acquisition and reaffirmed 2026 sales guidance look incrementally positive for Honeywell’s energy-transition and process-technology ambitions, but they do not materially change the near term focus on spin-off execution risk and integration costs.

    Among recent developments, the updated 2026 guidance that explicitly separates spin-off effects from underlying EPS (US$5.39 to US$5.79 excluding spin-off impact) feels particularly relevant. It gives investors a cleaner way to track the earnings power of Honeywell Technologies on its own while the Johnson Matthey Catalyst Technologies deal is absorbed, and while the Aerospace and Advanced Materials spin-offs introduce additional one-time expenses and operational complexity.

    Yet even with these positives, investors should also be aware that the spin-off’s one-time costs and potential stranded expenses could...

    Read the full narrative on Honeywell International (it's free!)

    Honeywell International's narrative projects $44.5 billion revenue and $7.2 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 5.7% yearly revenue growth and about a $3.2 billion earnings increase from $4.0 billion today.

    Uncover how Honeywell International's forecasts yield a $247.30 fair value, a 10% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    HON 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    HON 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Some of the lowest estimate analysts already expected Honeywell to reach about US$7.1 billion in earnings by 2029, yet still flagged spin off execution costs of up to US$2 billion as a key risk. Compared with the baseline view, their narrative is much more cautious about how tariffs and separation expenses might offset benefits from moves like the Johnson Matthey acquisition, and it is a useful reminder that your own view should sit somewhere along a wide range of reasonable opinions.

    Explore 13 other fair value estimates on Honeywell International - why the stock might be worth as much as 42% more than the current price!

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.