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To own ASSA ABLOY, you need to be comfortable with a global access solutions group that leans on both organic growth and frequent acquisitions to build scale, while steadily pushing margins higher through efficiency programs. The latest quarter’s record operating margin and higher EPS support the near term catalyst around profitability, but they do not remove key risks such as ongoing acquisition integration or soft patches in construction end markets.
Among recent announcements, the Board’s approval of a SEK 6.40 per share dividend in two installments in 2026 stands out next to the strong Q2 and H1 earnings. For shareholders, that dividend decision, taken alongside higher net income despite flat to slightly lower six month sales, reinforces the idea that ASSA ABLOY is managing cash generation and capital returns carefully at the same time as it continues its acquisition led expansion.
Yet beneath the headline record margin, investors should also be aware of the risk that ongoing acquisitions could start to weigh on margins and earnings quality if...
Read the full narrative on ASSA ABLOY (it's free!)
ASSA ABLOY's narrative projects SEK179.7 billion revenue and SEK21.2 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 6.2% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about SEK5.4 billion from SEK15.8 billion today.
Uncover how ASSA ABLOY's forecasts yield a SEK401.29 fair value, a 15% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest estimate analysts were expecting earnings of about SEK 20.1 billion on SEK 168.5 billion of revenue by 2029, and they focus more on risks like supply chain strain and tariff exposure than the latest record margin. Their view is a clear reminder that your own assessment of this quarter’s results could shift the balance between these cautious forecasts and the more optimistic acquisition and efficiency story.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on ASSA ABLOY - why the stock might be worth just SEK340.00!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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