Japan Process Development's (TSE:9651) Problems Go Beyond Weak Profit
Despite Japan Process Development Co., Ltd.'s (TSE:9651) recent earnings report having lackluster headline numbers, the market responded positively. We think that shareholders might be missing some concerning factors that our analysis found.
Examining Cashflow Against Japan Process Development's Earnings
As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".
Japan Process Development has an accrual ratio of 0.22 for the year to May 2026. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of JP¥163m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of JP¥1.14b. Japan Process Development shareholders will no doubt be hoping that its free cash flow bounces back next year, since it was down over the last twelve months.
Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Japan Process Development.
Our Take On Japan Process Development's Profit Performance
Japan Process Development didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Japan Process Development's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But at least holders can take some solace from the 66% per annum growth in EPS for the last three. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you want to do dive deeper into Japan Process Development, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. When we did our research, we found 3 warning signs for Japan Process Development (1 is significant!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Japan Process Development's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.