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To own Akeso, you need to believe its IO 2.0 and ADC 2.0 bispecific platforms can turn today’s R&D-heavy, loss-making profile into a durable oncology franchise. The key near term catalyst remains clinical readouts and regulatory progress for cadonilimab and ivonescimab, while persistent operating losses and reliance on a few flagship assets are the biggest risks. The new MSK Phase II collaboration supports the global cadonilimab story but does not materially change those near term risk and reward drivers yet.
The recent Phase II start for Akeso’s TROP2/Nectin-4 bispecific ADC AK146D1 in combination with ivonescimab for first-line NSCLC is closely linked to this update. Both announcements highlight how Akeso is building on its bispecific backbones across gastric and lung cancers, which could broaden future revenue sources if trials succeed. At the same time, they increase execution risk, given the company is still loss-making and funding a broad, capital intensive pipeline.
Yet investors should also weigh how deep NRDL price cuts and tighter cost controls could amplify the risk that...
Read the full narrative on Akeso (it's free!)
Akeso's narrative projects CN¥10.5 billion revenue and CN¥2.6 billion earnings by 2029.
Uncover how Akeso's forecasts yield a HK$172.32 fair value, a 74% upside to its current price.
While this bispecific progress is encouraging, the lowest ranked analysts were assuming CN¥9.3 billion of 2029 revenue and CN¥1.6 billion earnings, so you should expect that views on Akeso’s risk and reward could shift meaningfully as this new gastric and NSCLC data comes through.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Akeso - why the stock might be worth as much as 82% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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