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To own Sempra, you need to be comfortable with a regulated utility story that leans heavily on Texas and California infrastructure, plus LNG-linked cash flows. Bird’s move to CFO alongside the partial sale of Sempra Infrastructure Partners tightens focus on capital recycling, but it does not materially alter the key near term catalyst of Texas rate base growth or the central risk around regulatory and policy shifts in core markets.
The upcoming second quarter 2026 earnings release, with analysts expecting a 12.4% year on year EPS increase and Sempra having met or exceeded estimates in the last four quarters, is likely to frame how investors judge this leadership transition and asset sale. How management talks about redeploying proceeds into projects like Oncor’s US$47.5 billion 2026 to 2030 capital plan will be important for assessing whether the capital recycling thesis still comfortably offsets the risk of reduced diversification.
Yet against this backdrop, investors should be aware that heavier concentration in regulated utilities could magnify the impact if regulatory or legislative priorities suddenly shift...
Read the full narrative on Sempra (it's free!)
Sempra's narrative projects $14.3 billion revenue and $4.1 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 1.8% yearly revenue growth and a $2.2 billion earnings increase from $1.9 billion today.
Uncover how Sempra's forecasts yield a $103.50 fair value, a 11% upside to its current price.
Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$46 to US$104 per share, underscoring how far apart individual views can be. When you set those opinions against the central risk of regulatory or legislative change in Texas and California, it becomes clear why exploring several alternative viewpoints on Sempra’s long term earnings power matters.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Sempra - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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