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To own Neurocrine Biosciences today, you need to believe its core neurology franchises, especially INGREZZA and CRENESSITY, can keep growing while the pipeline gradually takes on more of the load. The latest leadership moves look additive but do not fundamentally change the near term focus on preserving INGREZZA pricing and share, or the key risk that concentrated exposure to two drugs leaves earnings sensitive to payer pushback and reimbursement trends.
Among the updates, Samir Siddhanti’s promotion to Chief Business Officer stands out. His remit across business development, alliance management, and program execution sits right at the junction of Neurocrine’s biggest catalysts: turning its late stage CNS pipeline into future products and making sure deals like the Soleno acquisition support a less INGREZZA dependent revenue mix over time.
Yet beneath this leadership upgrade, investors should be aware that pricing pressure and payer scrutiny could still...
Read the full narrative on Neurocrine Biosciences (it's free!)
Neurocrine Biosciences' narrative projects $5.1 billion revenue and $1.5 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 18.0% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $831 million from $668.6 million today.
Uncover how Neurocrine Biosciences' forecasts yield a $192.88 fair value, a 11% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts take a much more cautious view, seeing revenue only reaching about US$4.8 billion and earnings around US$884 million by 2029, and they worry that payer consolidation and pricing pressure on INGREZZA and CRENESSITY could outweigh the benefits of the new market access leadership, so it is worth comparing their concerns with the more optimistic pipeline driven story before you make up your mind.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Neurocrine Biosciences - why the stock might be worth just $192.88!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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