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To own D-Wave Quantum, you need to believe that quantum annealing and a future gate-model platform can convert early proofs of concept into scaled, recurring QCaaS and system deals, despite persistent losses and reliance on a few large contracts. The expanded AT&T deployment directly supports that thesis by showing production use in a complex 5G and fiber network, but it does not yet resolve the key near term risk that operating expenses remain high while the revenue base is still relatively narrow.
Against this backdrop, D-Wave’s June 2026 gate-model roadmap announcement, outlining a path toward fault tolerant systems with 100 logical qubits by 2032, frames the AT&T news in a broader context. AT&T’s evaluation of D-Wave’s future gate-model systems for quantum security and communications ties this customer win to that roadmap, reinforcing how enterprise interest could matter for both annealing adoption today and the dual platform story that many investors view as a potential long term catalyst.
Yet despite the AT&T progress, investors should also weigh how continued adjusted net losses and rising operating costs could limit D-Wave’s flexibility if...
Read the full narrative on D-Wave Quantum (it's free!)
D-Wave Quantum's narrative projects $173.5 million revenue and $21.0 million earnings by 2029. This requires 140.7% yearly revenue growth and about a $389 million earnings increase from -$368.0 million today.
Uncover how D-Wave Quantum's forecasts yield a $36.84 fair value, a 109% upside to its current price.
The most bullish analysts were already assuming revenue could reach about US$210.1 million by 2029, so compared with the baseline concerns about losses and lumpy deals, this AT&T milestone might push that optimistic view even further while reminding you that expectations for D-Wave’s dual platform roadmap can vary widely among investors.
Explore 24 other fair value estimates on D-Wave Quantum - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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