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    Will Reddit’s Expanded AI Data Licensing and Q2 Outlook Shift the Core Reddit (RDDT) Narrative

    Simply Wall St·07/29/2026 22:27:12
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    • In recent days, analysts have lifted expectations for Reddit’s upcoming Q2 2026 report, with forecasts calling for around US$745 million in revenue and US$0.99 in earnings per share, while fresh coverage from Wall Street has emphasized the growing role of Reddit’s community data in artificial intelligence training and licensing.
    • At the same time, Reddit’s ongoing licensing negotiations with Google and its push into AI-enabled advertising tools underscore how the platform’s user conversations are becoming a core product in their own right, rather than just a byproduct of running an online forum.
    • Next, we’ll examine how heightened attention on Reddit’s AI data licensing negotiations with Google may reshape the company’s long-term investment narrative.

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    Reddit Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Reddit, you have to believe its mix of community driven advertising and high margin data licensing can keep scaling without alienating users or advertisers. Right now, the key near term catalyst is whether Q2 2026 results land near the roughly US$745 million revenue and US$0.99 EPS forecasts, while the biggest risk is the Google AI data licensing standoff, which could meaningfully affect both near term sentiment and longer term data monetization.

    One of the most relevant recent developments here is Reddit’s rollout of AI powered self service ad tools like Reddit Community Intelligence for small and mid sized businesses. This ties directly into the Q2 expectations for strong advertising revenue and shows how Reddit is trying to deepen monetization of its existing traffic, which matters even more if data licensing terms with partners like Google become less favorable or more volatile.

    Yet, while the headlines focus on growth, investors should also be aware that...

    Read the full narrative on Reddit (it's free!)

    Reddit's narrative projects $5.6 billion revenue and $1.9 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 31.2% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $1.2 billion from $707.5 million today.

    Uncover how Reddit's forecasts yield a $224.92 fair value, a 26% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    RDDT 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    RDDT 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    Compared with consensus, the most bearish analysts sketch a much harsher path, even while assuming revenue climbs to about US$5.1 billion and earnings to roughly US$1.4 billion by 2029; if Reddit’s data licensing talks and AI related pressures play out differently than they expect, those pessimistic assumptions around margins and bargaining power could shift, so it is worth weighing these contrasting views before you decide what you believe.

    Explore 20 other fair value estimates on Reddit - why the stock might be worth as much as 99% more than the current price!

    Decide For Yourself

    Don't just follow the ticker - dig into the data and build a conviction that's truly your own.

    • A great starting point for your Reddit research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards that could impact your investment decision.
    • Our free Reddit research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Reddit's overall financial health at a glance.

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.