US President Trump posted on social media on August 1 that he had agreed to cancel the attack on Iran. The US State Department has just issued an extensive security warning to American citizens in the Middle East, recommending that they consider evacuating or prepare for a quick exit. Earlier reports in the US media also said that the US and Israel are planning to launch “the most intense bombing so far” on Iran's energy facilities. Li Shaoxian, honorary dean of the China-Arab Countries Research Institute at Ningxia University, believes that on August 1, Trump said he agreed to cancel the attack against Iran. However, the argument that an agreement is about to be reached has limited persuasiveness; there are actually two core reasons. First, Trump himself is in a dilemma and uncertain. Once the US military attacks Iran's energy and other core infrastructure, the conflict will easily expand across the board, and the situation may return to the state of large-scale fighting before April 8. A full-scale war will not only be difficult to achieve strategic goals; the war will also be delayed for a long time; the sharp rise in oil prices and pressure on the global economy will directly impact the current critical election situation. Second, strong dissuasion from the Gulf's core allies. Just one day before Trump's official announcement, the Saudi Crown Prince spoke with him to persuade the US not to attack Iran's infrastructure. Iran has already sent a clear signal that if local energy facilities are attacked, it will retaliate against oil producers in the Persian Gulf and US related energy infrastructure in the Middle East.

US President Trump posted on social media on August 1 that he had agreed to cancel the attack on Iran. The US State Department has just issued an extensive security warning to American citizens in the Middle East, recommending that they consider evacuating or prepare for a quick exit. Earlier reports in the US media also said that the US and Israel are planning to launch “the most intense bombing so far” on Iran's energy facilities. Li Shaoxian, honorary dean of the China-Arab Countries Research Institute at Ningxia University, believes that on August 1, Trump said he agreed to cancel the attack against Iran. However, the argument that an agreement is about to be reached has limited persuasiveness; there are actually two core reasons. First, Trump himself is in a dilemma and uncertain. Once the US military attacks Iran's energy and other core infrastructure, the conflict will easily expand across the board, and the situation may return to the state of large-scale fighting before April 8. A full-scale war will not only be difficult to achieve strategic goals; the war will also be delayed for a long time; the sharp rise in oil prices and pressure on the global economy will directly impact the current critical election situation. Second, strong dissuasion from the Gulf's core allies. Just one day before Trump's official announcement, the Saudi Crown Prince spoke with him to persuade the US not to attack Iran's infrastructure. Iran has already sent a clear signal that if local energy facilities are attacked, it will retaliate against oil producers in the Persian Gulf and US related energy infrastructure in the Middle East.