RenaissanceRe Holdings (RNR) Could Be 6% Undervalued On Earnings And Buybacks
RenaissanceRe Holdings (RNR) is back in focus after reporting second quarter results, affirming a quarterly dividend and disclosing progress on a sizeable share repurchase program that together outline current capital allocation priorities.
See our latest analysis for RenaissanceRe Holdings.
RenaissanceRe Holdings shares now trade at US$319.98 after a mixed few weeks, with a 7 day share price return of 2.77% decline set against a 90 day share price return of 6.91% and a 1 year total shareholder return of 33.09%. Taken together, these figures suggest price momentum has been positive over the past year even as the latest quarter brought softer revenue and net income.
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RenaissanceRe Holdings now sits near US$320 after strong longer term returns but softer recent revenue and net income. Whether to buy after this run or wait for a better entry depends on what the current valuation actually implies.
Most Popular Narrative: 6% Undervalued
The most followed RenaissanceRe Holdings narrative pegs fair value around $339, slightly above the last close at $319.98, and rests on some very specific long range assumptions.
The analysts have a consensus price target of $339.0 for RenaissanceRe Holdings based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $410.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $304.0.
Want to see what is sitting underneath that fair value for RenaissanceRe Holdings? The narrative leans heavily on shrinking revenues, lower margins and a higher future earnings multiple. The way those moving parts are combined may surprise you.
Result: Fair Value of $339 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, the RenaissanceRe Holdings story also leans on assumptions that could be challenged if catastrophe losses spike or if reinsurance pricing softens faster than expected.
Find out about the key risks to this RenaissanceRe Holdings narrative.
Next Steps
With both risks and rewards in play for RenaissanceRe Holdings, this is a good time to look through the details yourself and act promptly. To see how those risk flags and potential upsides balance out in one place, review the 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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