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To own Deere, you need to believe that its push into precision agriculture and connected equipment can offset cyclical swings in farm and construction demand. The Tenna acquisition fits this thesis but does not materially change the biggest near term swing factors, which still look like end market volatility in North American large ag and ongoing tariff and input cost pressures.
Among recent updates, Deere’s agreement with the FTC and several states to expand access to repair tools stands out in the context of its digital and automation push. As Deere embeds more technology into equipment and services, easing right to repair concerns may help support adoption of connected solutions, while the core catalysts remain tied to how quickly precision platforms like Operations Center and tools acquired through Tenna gain traction with customers.
Yet while these technology advances are encouraging, investors should still be aware of the risk that prolonged weakness in North American large ag could...
Read the full narrative on Deere (it's free!)
Deere's narrative projects $48.4 billion revenue and $9.3 billion earnings by 2029. This implies fairly flat yearly revenue growth and roughly a $4.5 billion earnings increase from $4.8 billion today.
Uncover how Deere's forecasts yield a $644.21 fair value, a 6% upside to its current price.
Compared with the consensus focus on tariffs and North American ag softness, the most optimistic analysts lean on much stronger construction and smart equipment demand, expecting revenues near US$52.7 billion and earnings around US$10.8 billion by 2029. This Tenna driven technology news could either support that more upbeat view or prompt revisions, which is why it is worth weighing several very different scenarios before you decide how Deere fits into your portfolio.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Deere - why the stock might be worth as much as 23% more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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