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    Nissan Motor (TSE:7201) Is Down 8.0% After Returning To Quarterly Profit And Reaffirming Guidance

    Simply Wall St·08/05/2026 17:30:38
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    • Nissan Motor Co., Ltd. reported first-quarter 2026 results showing sales of ¥2,601,556 million and net income of ¥3,761 million, a shift from a net loss in the same period a year earlier.
    • The company’s return to profit, achieved alongside reaffirmed full-year operating profit guidance despite weaker demand in China and earthquake-related disruption, highlights the growing impact of its Re:Nissan cost-cutting and turnaround efforts.
    • We’ll now examine how Nissan’s return to quarterly profitability while maintaining full-year earnings guidance affects the company’s broader investment narrative.

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    Nissan Motor Investment Narrative Recap

    To own Nissan today, you need to believe the Re:Nissan turnaround can translate cost savings into sustained, profitable growth while the company adapts its line up toward electrification. The first quarter return to profit supports that thesis but also underlines the key short term tension: management is holding its ¥200 billion operating profit target even as weaker China demand and earthquake disruption highlight how fragile the recovery still is.

    The most relevant announcement here is Nissan’s decision to reaffirm its fiscal 2026 operating profit outlook at ¥200 billion while cutting its sales volume forecast from 3.3 million to 3.15 million units. For me, that puts the Re:Nissan cost cutting and mix improvement efforts squarely in focus as the main near term catalyst, while also sharpening the risk that prolonged pricing pressure and volume weakness in China could undo some of this early progress.

    Yet while the return to profit is encouraging, investors should also be aware that persistent competitive and pricing pressure in China could still...

    Read the full narrative on Nissan Motor (it's free!)

    Nissan Motor's narrative projects ¥13,134.1 billion revenue and ¥178.3 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 3.0% yearly revenue growth and a ¥711.4 billion earnings increase from -¥533.1 billion today.

    Uncover how Nissan Motor's forecasts yield a ¥412 fair value, a 25% upside to its current price.

    Exploring Other Perspectives

    TSE:7201 1-Year Stock Price Chart
    TSE:7201 1-Year Stock Price Chart

    The most optimistic analysts were already assuming revenue of about ¥14,101.7 billion and earnings of roughly ¥300.6 billion by 2029, which is far more upbeat than consensus on how quickly cost cuts, electrification progress, and operational consolidation might lift margins and offset risks like execution in EVs and pressure in China, and this quarter’s profit surprise may prompt both views to shift again.

    Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Nissan Motor - why the stock might be worth over 4x more than the current price!

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    This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.