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To own Autodesk, you need to believe in its role at the center of digital design and construction, with recurring software revenue and strong returns on capital. The upcoming 27 August 2026 earnings release is a key short term catalyst, as expectations for nearly 19% EPS and 14% revenue growth will test confidence in that thesis. The biggest risk near term remains customer friction around Autodesk’s evolving transaction and subscription model, and this latest share price move does not materially change that.
In this context, Autodesk’s Q1 FY2026 results and subsequent FY2027 guidance raise in May stand out as highly relevant. Management outlined revenue of about US$7,206 million for FY2026 and guided to higher revenue and margins in FY2027, helping frame how current analyst optimism may tie back to earlier execution. Those earlier numbers give investors a reference point as they weigh whether today’s upbeat earnings forecasts are an extension of a solid base or a potential stretch.
Yet for all the optimism around forecast growth, investors should also be aware of the ongoing friction in Autodesk’s new transaction model and its potential impact on renewal behavior...
Read the full narrative on Autodesk (it's free!)
Autodesk's narrative projects $10.2 billion revenue and $2.5 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 10.6% yearly revenue growth and about a $1.0 billion earnings increase from $1.5 billion today.
Uncover how Autodesk's forecasts yield a $318.53 fair value, a 31% upside to its current price.
While today’s earnings buzz points to upside, the lowest analysts were assuming revenue of about US$9.8 billion and earnings of US$2.3 billion by 2029, which paints a more cautious path that you may want to compare with your own expectations.
Explore 9 other fair value estimates on Autodesk - why the stock might be worth as much as 55% more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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