VEON (VEON) has drawn fresh attention after raising its full year 2026 revenue growth outlook to 15% to 18% and releasing second quarter results that showed higher sales but lower net income compared with a year earlier.
See our latest analysis for VEON.
VEON’s latest guidance upgrade and second quarter report land after a solid run in the stock, with a 90 day share price return of 15.35% and a 3 year total shareholder return above 200%. This suggests momentum has been building as investors reassess its growth and risk profile.
If VEON’s move has you thinking about where else growth stories could emerge in digital infrastructure, it may be worth scanning the 36 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks
The recent jump in VEON and the gap between its current price and the range of analyst and intrinsic estimates put the spotlight on one issue: Where does fair value really sit now that expectations have shifted?
At a last close of $57.10 versus a narrative fair value of $83.44, VEON is framed as materially undervalued, with the story hinging on how digital and AI driven services reshape its earnings mix over time.
VEON is aggressively expanding digital service offerings (including fintech, super apps, ride-hailing, entertainment, and AI-driven products) in emerging markets that are rapidly digitalizing and seeing surging demand for mobile internet and data; this positions the company to achieve significant ongoing subscriber growth and strong ARPU uplift, directly supporting future revenue and EBITDA growth. The company is capitalizing on large, young, and increasingly urban populations in core markets (e.g., Pakistan, Bangladesh, Ukraine), which are likely to drive continued uptake of digital financial services (like JazzCash), enabling recurring, high-margin fee-based revenue streams, and supporting net margin expansion and higher earnings quality over time.
Want to see why this fair value sits well above the current price? The narrative leans on a specific earnings path, tighter margins, and a higher future earnings multiple. The exact mix of revenue growth, margin expectations, and discount rate is what really drives that $83.44 figure.
Result: Fair Value of $83.44 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, VEON’s story can change quickly if currency swings in core markets or pressure from higher debt costs begin to weigh more heavily on reported earnings.
Find out about the key risks to this VEON narrative.
The earlier narrative presents VEON as 31.6% undervalued based on analyst earnings forecasts and a fair value of $83.44. The current P/E ratio of 66.6x tells a very different story. It sits far above the global Wireless Telecom average of 15.7x and a fair ratio of 22.5x, which points to a lot of optimism already in the price. Is that gap a margin of safety, or a margin of error waiting to be tested?
For a closer look at how this earnings multiple stacks up against fundamentals, it is worth going through the See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
With sentiment on VEON clearly mixed, now is a good time to look under the hood yourself. Weigh the upside against the red flags by reviewing the 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs.
If VEON has you thinking bigger about your portfolio, do not stop here. Fresh opportunities keep emerging and you may wish to act sooner rather than later.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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