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To own Bristow Group, you need to believe that its mix of long term government search and rescue contracts and offshore energy flying can support consistent profitability while funding a capital intensive fleet. The latest quarter’s profit and dividend do not appear to change the near term catalyst, which is executing on those government contract ramps, nor the biggest risk, which remains cost inflation and supply chain pressure on aircraft availability and maintenance.
The most relevant recent announcement here is Bristow’s reaffirmed quarterly dividend of US$0.125 per share. Paired with a profitable second quarter, it highlights the company’s current cash generation, which matters when thinking about heavy future investment needs and the potential strain of higher maintenance and fleet upgrade costs if supply chain and expense pressures persist.
Yet against this backdrop of steady Q2 profits and dividends, the risk that rising maintenance and fleet investment could squeeze margins is something investors should be aware of...
Read the full narrative on Bristow Group (it's free!)
Bristow Group's narrative projects $1.9 billion revenue and $229.0 million earnings by 2029.
Uncover how Bristow Group's forecasts yield a $62.00 fair value, a 35% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts painted a much more cautious picture, assuming revenue of about US$1.9 billion and earnings near US$207 million by 2029, so if you are comparing that to Bristow’s latest quarter you should recognize how wide opinions can be and consider how this new information might shift those expectations.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Bristow Group - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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