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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 55.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 44.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 40.8%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 47.4%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 11.8%.

Zhitongcaijing·08/09/2026 22:17:02
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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 55.6%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 44.4%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 40.8%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 47.4%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 11.8%.