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To own UGI, you need to be comfortable with a slow‑growth, income‑oriented utility that is working through fuel‑transition and cost pressures while maintaining its dividend. The latest quarter’s slightly smaller loss and largely steady year‑to‑date earnings do not materially change the near‑term focus on securing higher regulated rates in Pennsylvania or the key risk that rising operating expenses and energy transition trends could squeeze margins further.
The reaffirmed US$0.375 quarterly dividend is the most relevant announcement here, because it underlines management’s commitment to ongoing cash returns at a time when profitability is uneven and LPG and propane volumes face long‑term erosion. For investors watching rate cases, decarbonization policies and free cash flow, a stable dividend alongside modest earnings volatility can be reassuring, but it also puts a sharper spotlight on how well UGI can balance capital spending, debt service and...
Read the full narrative on UGI (it's free!)
UGI's narrative projects $8.0 billion revenue and $821.8 million earnings by 2029. This requires 3.2% yearly revenue growth and a roughly $150.8 million earnings increase from $671.0 million today.
Uncover how UGI's forecasts yield a $41.33 fair value, a 18% upside to its current price.
Three fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span a wide range from about US$14.29 up to roughly US$41.33 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. Against that backdrop, UGI’s reliance on higher future utility rates to offset cost inflation and energy transition headwinds is a key consideration you may want to weigh as you compare these different opinions.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on UGI - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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