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To own Savara today, you really have to believe in MOLBREEVI becoming a viable commercial product for autoimmune PAP and in the company’s ability to fund the journey without destroying too much shareholder value. The latest quarter’s wider US$40.23 million loss simply reinforces that this is still a pre-revenue, cash-consuming story, not a self-funding one. The new US$108.30 million shelf registration tied to an ESOP-related offering adds another layer, because it comes on top of an already high price to book and a history of dilution, and it could expand the share count further if tapped. Against that, the clearly defined U.S., U.K. and EU decision timelines keep the central catalyst unchanged: upcoming regulatory outcomes for MOLBREEVI that will likely drive sentiment more than one quarter’s loss.
However, the shelf filing raises a fresh dilution risk that investors should understand. Insights from our recent valuation report point to the potential overvaluation of Savara shares in the market.Explore another fair value estimate on Savara - why the stock might be worth as much as 92% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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