U.S. stock futures were mixed on Thursday, as the Dow Jones and S&P 500 indices rose, while the Nasdaq 100 declined following Wednesday’s mixed close.
After the Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose 3.4% year-over-year in July, down from June’s 3.5% increase, in line with expectations, investors will review July’s PPI and ex-food & energy PPI data, set to be released before the opening bell.
The U.S. and Iran made no progress on reviving their interim peace agreement, leaving the Strait of Hormuz heavily disrupted amid fresh attacks on commercial shipping, according to Reuters. Geopolitical tensions remain elevated as President Donald Trump took to social media, declaring that “Iran is all talk and no action, the Bully of the Middle East No Longer.”
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.67%, and the two-year bond was at 4.17%. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool projections show markets pricing a 36.1% likelihood of the Federal Reserve hiking the current interest rates during its September meeting.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | 0.21% |
| S&P 500 | 0.14% |
| Nasdaq 100 | -0.02% |
| Russell 2000 | 0.19% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively, were mixed in premarket on Thursday. The SPY was up 0.16% at $773.76, while the QQQ declined by 0.02% to $723.52.
Real estate, information technology, and utilities stocks rose on Wednesday along with other sectors, except communication services, consumer discretionary, and materials.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | -0.04% | 53,770.27 |
| S&P 500 | 0.26% | 7,748.50 |
| Nasdaq Composite | 0.54% | 26,588.49 |
| Russell 2000 | 0.61% | 3,045.48 |
BlackRock maintains an optimistic outlook for U.S. equities while preparing for structural shifts across the broader economy. Despite economic headwinds, BlackRock stays “overweight” on U.S. equities, pointing out that “strong corporate earnings, fueled by the AI buildout and a favorable macro backdrop, are outpacing higher interest rate expectations.”
Analysts project S&P 500 corporate earnings to grow by 11.6% annually over the next five years, though this outlook remains conditional on artificial intelligence boosting productivity and profit margins.
Economically, BlackRock foresees an environment shaped by “a structurally higher cost of capital” alongside persistent inflation risks.
BlackRock expects long-term bond yields to stay under upward pressure because “governments, AI hyperscalers and companies across the economy are competing ever more intensely for capital”.
Regarding stock valuations, BlackRock notes, “we see valuations falling as earnings growth outpaces share price gains, allowing multiples to decline over time.”
To navigate this regime, they prefer targeted equity exposures tied to AI infrastructure bottlenecks—such as chips, power, and data centers—as well as sectors like healthcare and technology.
Here’s what investors will be keeping an eye on Thursday.
Crude Oil WTI futures were trading lower in the early New York session by 1.81% to hover around $81.76 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar fell 0.78% to hover around $4,374.23 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.02% lower at the 99.9930 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 0.01% higher at $63,739.58 per coin over the last 24 hours.
Asian markets were lower on Thursday, except Japan’s Nikkei 225 and South Korea’s Kospi indices. Australia’s ASX 200, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng, India’s Nifty 50 and China’s CSI 300 indices fell. European markets were mixed in early trading.
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