Raisio plc Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now
Shareholders might have noticed that Raisio plc (HEL:RAIVV) filed its second-quarter result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 4.0% to €2.49 in the past week. Statutory earnings per share fell badly short of expectations, coming in at €0.01, some 75% below analyst forecasts, although revenues were okay, approximately in line with analyst estimates at €56m. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Raisio after the latest results.
Taking into account the latest results, Raisio's three analysts currently expect revenues in 2026 to be €229.4m, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to climb 17% to €0.15. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of €229.4m and earnings per share (EPS) of €0.16 in 2026. The analysts seem to have become a little more negative on the business after the latest results, given the small dip in their earnings per share numbers for next year.
Check out our latest analysis for Raisio
It might be a surprise to learn that the consensus price target was broadly unchanged at €3.03, with the analysts clearly implying that the forecast decline in earnings is not expected to have much of an impact on valuation. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. There are some variant perceptions on Raisio, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at €3.10 and the most bearish at €2.90 per share. With such a narrow range of valuations, the analysts apparently share similar views on what they think the business is worth.
These estimates are interesting, but it can be useful to paint some more broad strokes when seeing how forecasts compare, both to the Raisio's past performance and to peers in the same industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that Raisio's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 3.7% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 1.9% p.a. over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 3.0% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Raisio is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Raisio. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have estimates - from multiple Raisio analysts - going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
Plus, you should also learn about the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Raisio .
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.