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To own Verizon, you need to believe its core wireless and broadband businesses can keep throwing off solid cash despite a mature US market, heavy 5G and fiber spending, and a sizeable debt load. The Pixel 11 launch, rich promos, and new AI features may support near term subscriber and ARPU trends, but they do not fundamentally change the key near term catalyst of broadband and FWA growth or the biggest risk around high leverage and financing costs.
Among the recent developments, Verizon’s US$3.75 billion of long dated, subordinated, variable rate notes stands out as most relevant. This funding move interacts directly with the debt risk in the story, even as the Pixel 11 lineup, Gemini AI perks and Fi powered pet tracking highlight how Verizon is trying to differentiate its offers on top of its network and data infrastructure.
Yet beneath the appealing device bundles and AI perks, investors still need to weigh how Verizon’s sizable debt could affect future flexibility and dividend support...
Read the full narrative on Verizon Communications (it's free!)
Verizon Communications' narrative projects $147.7 billion revenue and $22.4 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 2.0% yearly revenue growth and a $5.1 billion earnings increase from $17.3 billion today.
Uncover how Verizon Communications' forecasts yield a $51.90 fair value, a 7% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were already modeling only about 1.2% annual revenue growth and US$21.6 billion of earnings by 2029, so if you worry that convergence pricing pressure and heavy fiber spending could bite harder than consensus expects, this Pixel and AI news might be exactly the kind of update that changes how you view those more pessimistic scenarios.
Explore 12 other fair value estimates on Verizon Communications - why the stock might be worth over 3x more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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