Celebrations may be in order for Senco Gold Limited (NSE:SENCO) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a significant upgrade to their statutory estimates for the company. The consensus estimated revenue numbers rose, with their view now clearly much more bullish on the company's business prospects.
Following the upgrade, the current consensus from Senco Gold's six analysts is for revenues of ₹107b in 2027 which - if met - would reflect a notable 11% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are supposed to plummet 35% to ₹22.80 in the same period. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹96b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹21.00 in 2027. The forecasts seem more optimistic now, with a substantial gain in revenue and a small increase to earnings per share estimates.
Check out our latest analysis for Senco Gold
Although the analysts have upgraded their earnings estimates, there was no change to the consensus price target of ₹491, suggesting that the forecast performance does not have a long term impact on the company's valuation.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. We would highlight that Senco Gold's revenue growth is expected to slow, with the forecast 14% annualised growth rate until the end of 2027 being well below the historical 25% p.a. growth over the last three years. Juxtapose this against the other companies in the industry with analyst coverage, which are forecast to grow their revenues (in aggregate) 17% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while Senco Gold's revenue growth is expected to slow, it's expected to grow roughly in line with the industry.
The most important thing to take away from this upgrade is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates for this year, expecting improving business conditions. They also upgraded their revenue forecasts, although the latest estimates suggest that Senco Gold will grow in line with the overall market. Given that analysts appear to be expecting substantial improvement in the sales pipeline, now could be the right time to take another look at Senco Gold.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Senco Gold analysts - going out to 2029, and you can see them free on our platform here.
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