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To own CAR Group, I think you need to believe its online automotive marketplaces can stay central to how cars are bought, sold and financed, even as technology and mobility trends evolve. The FY26 result and FY27 revenue guidance support the near term growth story, but do not materially change the key short term catalyst, which remains execution on monetising traffic without overburdening dealers, or the main risk around rising competition from large digital and manufacturer platforms.
The FY27 guidance for 11–14% constant currency revenue growth is the announcement that ties most directly into this story, because it connects CAR Group’s recent earnings momentum with its ability to keep expanding its marketplace economics. That outlook sits alongside a higher A$0.435 dividend for the June 2026 half, which reinforces that any revenue uplift still needs to be balanced against pressures on dealer margins and potential cyclicality in auto transaction volumes.
Yet behind this upbeat revenue guidance, the growing threat from big tech and manufacturer owned marketplaces is something investors should be aware of...
Read the full narrative on CAR Group (it's free!)
CAR Group's narrative projects A$1.6 billion revenue and A$464.1 million earnings by 2029. This requires 9.8% yearly revenue growth and about A$168.7 million earnings increase from A$295.4 million today.
Uncover how CAR Group's forecasts yield a A$32.89 fair value, a 11% upside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see fair value for CAR Group between A$32.00 and A$33.76, reflecting a relatively tight cluster of views. You can weigh those against the company’s own FY27 revenue growth guidance, which raises useful questions about how competitive pressures might influence CAR Group’s ability to keep translating marketplace scale into sustained earnings power.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on CAR Group - why the stock might be worth just A$32.00!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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