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To own OR Royalties, you need to believe its royalty model can keep converting partner mine output into high margin GEOs while precious metal prices remain a key swing factor. Right now, the main near term catalyst is whether the company can actually deliver its reaffirmed 80,000 to 90,000 GEOs in 2026, while the biggest risk is its heavy exposure to gold and silver prices. The latest results and guidance do not materially change either point.
Among the recent announcements, the confirmation that OR Royalties remains on track for 2026 production of 80,000 to 90,000 GEOs is most relevant. It directly ties into the volume growth story behind assets like Namdini, Dalgaranga and CSA, and whether they can offset any future weakness in metal prices. For investors focused on near term catalysts, this guidance update is a key reference point for assessing how reliable the growth pipeline really is.
Yet while volumes and dividends look encouraging, investors should also be aware of how dependent this story remains on future moves in gold and silver prices...
Read the full narrative on OR Royalties (it's free!)
OR Royalties’ narrative projects $535.0 million revenue and $361.4 million earnings by 2029. This requires 18.0% yearly revenue growth and about a $107 million earnings increase from $254.0 million today.
Uncover how OR Royalties' forecasts yield a CA$73.81 fair value, a 59% upside to its current price.
Some of the most optimistic analysts were previously assuming OR Royalties could lift earnings to about US$390.5 million by 2029 on faster revenue growth, which is a far more bullish take than the consensus view tied mainly to meeting the 80,000 to 90,000 GEOs target. The latest strong quarter and reaffirmed guidance may either support or challenge those higher expectations, so it is worth comparing these different outlooks before deciding which narrative you find more convincing.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on OR Royalties - why the stock might be worth as much as 59% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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