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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 67.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 32.7%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 58.3%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 37.3%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 4.3%.

Zhitongcaijing·08/19/2026 22:09:02
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According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 67.3%, and the probability of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike is 32.7%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 58.3%, the probability of increasing interest rates by 25 basis points is 37.3%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 4.3%.