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To own WD 40 today, you need to believe its premium valuation can be supported by disciplined growth in maintenance products and careful cost control, even as sales momentum and margins face pressure. The August 2026 call adds detail to that thesis but does not materially change the key near term catalyst, which is whether earnings can keep pace with expectations, or the main risk, that margin or demand weakness could expose the stock’s higher valuation.
The most relevant new element is the planned manufacturing capacity in Thailand, which ties directly to WD 40’s international expansion and efficiency goals. If executed well, this could support the company’s target of gross margins above 55% and help offset cost and tariff pressures, but it also adds exposure to Asia Pacific, where softer conditions and currency swings are already important swing factors for the story.
Yet behind WD 40’s premium price tag, investors should be aware of how even modest margin pressure in key regions could...
Read the full narrative on WD-40 (it's free!)
WD-40's narrative projects $826.4 million revenue and $87.9 million earnings by 2029. This requires 7.0% yearly revenue growth and a $1.1 million earnings decrease from $89.0 million today.
Uncover how WD-40's forecasts yield a $271.67 fair value, a 25% upside to its current price.
The most pessimistic analysts were already assuming only about 5.8 percent annual revenue growth and margin compression to roughly 11.9 percent net margins, so compared with the Thailand expansion and long term growth plan just outlined, their view highlights how differently you might weigh regional risks and cost pressures before deciding which version of WD 40’s future you find more convincing.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on WD-40 - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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