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To own Hershey, you need to believe its brands can keep pricing power and consumer relevance even as cocoa, tariffs and a weaker consumer weigh on earnings. The expanded 2026 Halloween lineup and Reese’s Nitro Bar latte are incremental positives for the innovation story, but they do not meaningfully change near term risks around input costs, EPS pressure into 2025 or competition in snacks and confections.
The Halloween portfolio expansion, with 20 plus innovations across chocolate, sweets and salty snacks, is the clearest link to today’s news. It directly reinforces a key potential catalyst: using seasonal, less cocoa intensive and salty offerings to support revenue and margin resilience while tariffs, cocoa prices and value seeking shoppers remain headwinds.
But against that opportunity, investors should be aware that elevated cocoa costs and tariff uncertainty could still...
Read the full narrative on Hershey (it's free!)
Hershey's narrative projects $13.1 billion revenue and $2.1 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 2.9% yearly revenue growth and about a $1.0 billion earnings increase from $1.1 billion today.
Uncover how Hershey's forecasts yield a $207.71 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.
While the Halloween push and Nitro Bar tie in highlight innovation strength, the most pessimistic analysts still see slower revenue growth near 2.3% a year and only about US$2.1 billion of earnings by 2029, reminding you that views on Hershey’s long term risk and reward can differ widely and may shift again as this kind of news is fully digested.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Hershey - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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